春节假期公路网流量呈现“前低后高”态势

Core Insights - The traffic flow on the national highway network during the 2026 Spring Festival holiday is expected to exhibit a "low at the beginning and high at the end, with tidal fluctuations" pattern [1] - The holiday period is from February 15 to February 23, lasting a total of 9 days [1] Traffic Flow Predictions - Daily average traffic flow on highways is projected to be approximately 55 million vehicles, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.5% [1] - The peak traffic day is expected to be on the sixth day of the lunar new year, with a flow of 71 million vehicles, about double the average daily flow [1] Traffic Flow Patterns - A regular pattern in traffic flow is anticipated: a low point from New Year's Eve to New Year's Day, followed by a rapid increase starting from the second day of the new year, with significant growth on the fifth day and a return peak on the sixth day [1] - Although there is a decline on the seventh day, the traffic will still remain at a high level [1] Congestion Times - Congestion is expected to peak during specific time slots: 9:00 AM to 12:00 PM and 2:00 PM to 7:00 PM [1] Vehicle Composition - Passenger cars will dominate the traffic composition, accounting for over 99% of the total vehicle count, with self-driving trips for family visits being the core demand [1] - The proportion of travel for tourism is expected to increase [1] Truck Traffic Trends - Truck traffic is anticipated to decrease before the holiday, reaching a low on New Year's Day, and gradually recover after the holiday [1] New Energy Vehicle Flow - Daily average traffic for new energy vehicles is expected to reach 12 million, making up 22% of the total traffic, with peak days reaching 15.3 million [1] Provincial Road Traffic - Traffic on ordinary national and provincial roads is expected to remain stable, with an average daily traffic volume of about 8,250 vehicles, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.5% [1] - The proportion of passenger vehicles on these roads is approximately 81%, with the lowest traffic observed on New Year's Day [1]