Here’s the Surprising ETF Trouncing the S&P 500 in 2026

Core Viewpoint - The iShares Russell 2000 ETF is outperforming the S&P 500 in 2026, challenging the traditional investment narrative that favors large-cap stocks [3][4]. Performance Comparison - The iShares Russell 2000 ETF is up 6.8% year-to-date in 2026, while the S&P 500 has declined by 0.1% [3][8]. - Over the past year, the iShares ETF has gained 17.6%, surpassing the S&P 500's 14.9% increase [3][8]. Small-Cap Dynamics - The iShares Russell 2000 ETF benefits from small-cap stocks, which have shown resilience and growth potential despite previous struggles [4]. - Small-cap stocks faced significant challenges during the pandemic, leading to underperformance compared to larger companies [5][6]. Economic Context - Small caps have higher debt loads, approximately 1.5 times that of large caps, making them more vulnerable to economic downturns [5]. - Inflation and rising interest rates have further pressured small businesses, limiting their growth potential [6]. Historical Performance - From 2020 to 2024, the Russell 2000 Index returned only 2.2% annually, in stark contrast to the S&P 500's 15.1% average return [7]. - By late 2024, small caps were trading at a 20% valuation discount compared to large caps [7]. Recent Developments - The Federal Reserve's rate cuts in 2025 to a range of 3.50%-3.75% have reduced borrowing costs for small-cap companies [8]. - Russell 2000 earnings grew by 12% in late 2025, marking the first time they outpaced large caps since 2021 [8].