Veteran trader makes eye-popping call on Palantir amid software slump

Core Viewpoint - Palantir Technologies Inc. has experienced a decline in stock price due to a broader sell-off in the software sector, despite strong earnings and significant revenue growth in recent quarters [1][2]. Financial Performance - Palantir reported adjusted earnings of 25 cents per share for the fourth quarter, surpassing the consensus estimate of 23 cents [4]. - Revenue for the quarter increased by 70% year over year to $1.41 billion, exceeding Wall Street's expectations of $1.33 billion [4]. - U.S. revenue constituted 76% of total revenue, with the government segment generating $570 million (up 66% year over year) and the commercial business generating $507 million (up 137% year over year) [5]. Market Dynamics - The stock has seen a significant increase in the past years, with a rise of 135% in 2025 and 340% in 2024, driven by high demand for AI software and retail investor interest [1]. - However, as of February 13, the stock is down approximately 26% year to date and 36% from its all-time high of $207 reached on November 3, 2025 [2][8]. Client Base and Contracts - Palantir's revenue is bolstered by contracts with the U.S. Army, including a deal worth up to $10 billion awarded in July 2025 [6]. - The company also serves commercial clients such as Airbus, Morgan Stanley, and Merck KGaA, indicating a diverse client base [6]. CEO's Perspective - CEO Alex Karp emphasized the importance of software architecture in leveraging AI, stating that large language models alone are insufficient without proper grounding in real-world applications [7][9].