Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao·2026-02-16 00:07Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry is transitioning from oversupply to a phase of accelerated capacity clearance, with expectations of a more intense market correction in 2026 compared to 2025, driven by weakening demand forecasts and increased competitive pressure [1][4]. Group 1: Company Actions - Several photovoltaic companies, including Mingguan New Materials and Trina Solar, have halted or adjusted their projects due to unfavorable market conditions, with Mingguan New Materials terminating a project with an initial investment plan of 5 billion yuan, having only invested approximately 163 thousand yuan so far [2]. - Trina Solar announced a reduction in funding for its original project to redirect resources towards a new distributed smart photovoltaic power station project, which is expected to contribute a net profit of 94.91 million yuan annually [2]. - Some companies, like Oujing Technology and Tianyi New Materials, have temporarily suspended production due to decreased demand from downstream customers, with Tianyi reporting a capacity utilization rate of only 14.66% for its subsidiaries [3]. Group 2: Industry Trends - The photovoltaic industry is facing significant overcapacity, with analysts noting that the supply-demand imbalance is worsening, leading to accelerated industry consolidation and a potential return to profitability if the market correction is decisive enough [4][6]. - The China Photovoltaic Industry Association projects a decline in new photovoltaic installations in 2026, estimating a range of 180 GW to 240 GW compared to 315.07 GW in 2025, indicating a decrease of 24% to 43% [4]. - Global photovoltaic installation growth is also expected to slow, with projections for 2026 ranging from 500 GW to 667 GW, down from 580 GW in 2025 [4]. Group 3: Future Strategies - Companies are exploring new avenues for growth, such as cost control and efficiency improvements, to maintain competitiveness in a challenging market [8]. - The industry is encouraged to develop a "Photovoltaic+" strategy, integrating photovoltaic technology with energy storage, hydrogen energy, and new applications in commercial aerospace and consumer electronics [8]. - Trina Solar has set ambitious performance targets, aiming for a net profit of no less than 200 million yuan in 2026, reflecting confidence in recovering profitability through enhanced product margins and rapid growth in energy storage and system solutions [8].