Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC expresses optimism about Zhipu's (02513) foundational model capability iteration and the realization of Coding scenarios, comparing its valuation to leading overseas large model companies, assigning an "outperform" rating with a target price of HKD 688, indicating a 42% upside potential from the current trading level [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Zhipu, established in 2019, is rooted in Tsinghua University's technological achievements, focusing on the development of the GLM series foundational models, enhancing core capabilities in Coding, reasoning, and Agentic models [2] - The latest foundational model, GLM-5, has achieved state-of-the-art (SOTA) performance in multiple benchmark scores, receiving widespread acclaim from both domestic and international users [2] Group 2: Revenue Growth and Market Potential - The company leverages its MaaS platform to deliver model capabilities, with projected revenue CAGR exceeding 130% from 2023 to 2027, driven primarily by API revenue, which is expected to approach RMB 600 million in annual recurring revenue (ARR) by early 2026, reflecting several-fold growth compared to the previous year [3] - The AI Coding total addressable market (TAM) is estimated to reach a trillion RMB scale, with Zhipu positioned to lead in this rapidly evolving sector, focusing on low hallucination rates, high stability, and strong reasoning and tool usage capabilities [4] - Zhipu's revenue projections for 2025-2028 are RMB 720 million, 1.75 billion, 3.67 billion, and 7.67 billion respectively, with a CAGR of 120% anticipated [4] Group 3: Catalysts for Growth - Potential catalysts for growth include the release of new generation models and significant increases in API and Coding ARR [5]
中金：予智谱(02513) 跑赢行业评级 目标价688港元