Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs has reiterated a "Buy" rating for AIA Group (01299) and Prudential (02378), citing attractive risk-reward at current valuations, with target prices set at HKD 96 for AIA and HKD 150 for Prudential [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Prudential and AIA's stock prices fell by 8% and 4% respectively on Friday, February 13, due to various factors including weak sales reported by Manulife Financial (00945) for Q4 2025 and concerns over potential disruption from artificial intelligence [1] Group 2: Sales Performance Analysis - The weak sales performance of Manulife is attributed to a high base effect and regulatory changes that disrupted the brokerage channel, which has limited direct implications for AIA and Prudential [1] - AIA and Prudential have a significantly lower contribution from annualized new premiums through the brokerage channel compared to Manulife, making them less susceptible to negative impacts from this channel [1] Group 3: Artificial Intelligence Concerns - While acknowledging the potential for disruption from artificial intelligence, Goldman Sachs emphasizes that products sold through agents are often complex, with long premium payment periods and/or high premium amounts, making them less vulnerable to AI disruption [1] - The firm believes that customer preference for personal interaction in these complex products will mitigate the impact of AI [1] - The narrative of sustained growth remains intact, with most pandemic-related disruptions now considered a thing of the past [1]
高盛:保诚(02378)与友邦保险(01299)估值吸引 股价回调提供买入机会