Can Southern Company Q4 Earnings Overcome Weather Risks?

Core Viewpoint - Southern Company is expected to report fourth-quarter earnings of 56 cents per share on revenues of $6.9 billion, with a year-over-year profit increase of 12% and an 8.3% rise in revenues [1][3][8] Group 1: Previous Quarter Performance - In the last reported quarter, Southern Company achieved adjusted earnings per share of $1.60, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by $1.50, with sales of $7.8 billion surpassing the consensus by 3.8% [2] - The company has topped the Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings in three of the last four quarters, with an average earnings surprise of 3% [3] Group 2: Factors Influencing Performance - Weather conditions are a significant factor affecting earnings, with milder temperatures in Q3 impacting year-over-year results and potentially limiting heating-related usage in Q4 [4] - Increased financing and depreciation expenses may pressure fourth-quarter profitability, as management noted higher costs offsetting operating growth [5] - Despite challenges, Southern Company has solid earnings visibility due to firm load growth and executed contracts, with retail sales rising 1.8% and commercial sales increasing by 3.5% in Q3 [6] Group 3: Earnings Prediction Model - The Zacks model does not predict a definitive earnings beat for Southern Company in the fourth quarter, as the Earnings ESP is -4.76% and the company holds a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) [7][9]