Ally Financial Sees 2026 Margin Rebound, Targets Mid-Teens Returns at BofA Conference

Core Insights - Ally Financial demonstrated solid operational performance in 2025, with expectations for continued growth into 2026, particularly in net interest margin and customer acquisition [5][6][12] Financial Performance - Retail auto credit losses were reported at 1.97%, with a flat expense structure and an increase in the CET1 ratio [1] - The net interest margin was around 350 basis points at year-end 2025, with expectations for a full-year margin of 360 to 370 basis points [6] - Ally's retail auto net charge-off guidance for 2026 is projected between 1.8% and 2.0%, with current trends indicating a midpoint expectation [9] Business Segments - The company focuses on three key operating businesses: Dealer Financial Services, insurance, and Corporate Finance, supported by a strong deposits franchise [4] - In Corporate Finance, Ally maintains a low average annualized loss rate of about 30 basis points since going public in 2014, while the asset base has grown [2] - Ally's insurance segment is expected to grow, although not linearly, due to various external factors impacting performance [10] Strategic Focus - Ally's strategic shift emphasizes strengthening core franchises and enhancing dealer relationships, which has led to record application flow and written premiums in insurance [3][4] - The company aims to leverage structural tailwinds for margin expansion, particularly through higher-yielding loans replacing lower-yielding securities [7] Customer and Deposit Growth - Ally has achieved 67 consecutive quarters of customer growth since its inception in 2009, indicating a strong customer acquisition strategy [1] - Deposit balances were flat in 2025, but the company anticipates that asset growth will typically lead to deposit growth in 2026, supported by alternative funding sources [12] Capital Management - Ally expects sufficient capital generation to support loan growth, dividends, and buybacks, with a goal of improving the CET1 ratio to the "nines over time" [13] - The company views buybacks as part of a balanced approach to capital management, considering valuation and strategic objectives [13]