RadexMarkets瑞德克斯:市场全线遭遇抛售

Market Overview - Global financial markets are experiencing significant volatility due to macroeconomic data and industry technological changes [1] - Investors are showing extreme caution ahead of key inflation data, leading to notable sell-off pressure across markets [1] - Precious metals, particularly gold and silver, have seen sharp declines, with gold dropping $160 to around $4920 per ounce and silver experiencing a double-digit percentage drop to $75 per ounce [1] Industry Impact - The impact of artificial intelligence (AI) is extending from the software sector to the logistics and transportation industry [2] - Traditional freight giants are facing severe setbacks, with Universal Logistics (ULH) down 10% and CH Robinson (CHRW) down over 14% following the announcement of AI freight scaling tools by Algorhythm Holdings (RIME) [2][5] - The technology sector is also underperforming, with Cisco Systems (CSCO) down 12% and Apple (AAPL) down 5%, contributing to a decline in the Nasdaq Composite Index [2][5] - Despite some companies seeing stock price increases of 30% due to AI announcements, the expectation of technological replacement is reshaping valuation logic and exacerbating the overall vulnerability of tech stocks [2][5] Labor Market and Monetary Policy - The latest non-farm payroll data for January shows an addition of 130,000 jobs, exceeding expectations by a factor of two, with the unemployment rate unexpectedly dropping to 4.3% [3][5] - Strong labor market data, combined with a projected year-on-year CPI inflation rate of only 2.5%, which remains above target, makes monetary policy easing unlikely in the near term [3][5] - The robust labor market and persistent inflation pressures create a closed loop, effectively blocking the possibility of the Federal Reserve initiating interest rate cuts in the short term [3][5] Future Outlook - Interest rate traders have reached a consensus that the Federal Reserve is likely to maintain interest rates in March [6] - Market confidence is expected to take time to rebuild amid multiple headwinds, including a $2 drop in oil prices due to oversupply concerns and ongoing declines in cryptocurrency [6] - As the next FOMC meeting is over a month away, the market will continue to digest inflation pressures and the industry pain caused by technological changes [6]