AGI Gears Up to Report Q4 Earnings: What's in Store for the Stock?

Core Insights - Alamos Gold (AGI) is set to report its fourth-quarter 2025 results on February 18, with earnings estimates indicating a 96% growth year-over-year to 49 cents per share, despite a 12.50% downward revision in estimates over the past 60 days [1][4]. Earnings Performance - In the last four quarters, Alamos Gold's earnings have matched the Zacks Consensus Estimate once, exceeded it twice, and fell short once, resulting in an average negative earnings surprise of 1.06% [2][3]. - The Earnings ESP for AGI is currently 0.00%, and the company holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), indicating that the model does not predict a definitive earnings beat this time [5]. Production and Revenue - Alamos Gold reported total production of 141,500 ounces in Q4 2025, reflecting a 1% increase year-over-year, with higher output from the Island Gold District (up 8%) and the Mulatos District (up 3%), although the Young-Davidson mine saw a 9% decline [6][8]. - The company achieved record quarterly revenues of $568 million, driven by higher gold prices and stronger sales volumes, with an average realized price of $3,997 per ounce [4][8]. - In the same quarter last year, Alamos Gold sold 141,258 ounces of gold at a realized price of $2,632 per ounce, resulting in revenues of $375.8 million [9]. Market Performance - Alamos Gold's shares have appreciated by 102.9% over the past year, compared to the industry's growth of 143.8% [10].