Is Western Digital's $4B Buyback Plan a Smart Move or a Risk?

Core Insights - Western Digital Corporation (WDC) has expanded its buyback authorization by an additional $4 billion, supported by strong business momentum and cash generation [1] - The company generated $3.02 billion in revenues for the fiscal second quarter, reflecting a 7% sequential increase and a 25% year-over-year growth, primarily driven by data center demand and high-capacity hard disk drives [2] - Non-GAAP earnings per share reached $2.13, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.95 and representing a 78% year-over-year increase [2] - Gross margin improved to 46.1%, a 770 basis point increase from the previous year, due to a favorable product mix and cost control measures [3] - Free cash flow for the quarter was $653 million, allowing the company to return over 100% of its free cash flow to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends [6] - WDC shipped over 3.5 million latest-generation ePMR drives, indicating strong customer adoption, and delivered a total of 215 exabytes to customers, marking a 22% year-over-year increase [5] Financial Performance - Non-GAAP operating income totaled $1.02 billion, up 72% year over year, with margins expanding more than 930 basis points to 33.8% [3] - The company has returned a total of $1.4 billion to shareholders through dividends and buybacks since launching its capital return program [6] - WDC carries $4.7 billion in long-term debt, which includes the current portion [7] Market Dynamics - The demand for higher-density storage is rising due to accelerated AI and cloud adoption, with WDC collaborating closely with hyperscale customers to meet this demand [4] - The company is advancing its technology roadmaps, including HAMR and ePMR, to drive the adoption of higher-capacity drives [4] - The storage industry remains cyclical, with potential sharp shifts in pricing and demand [7] Competitive Landscape - Seagate Technology has resumed share repurchases, indicating a shift in capital allocation strategy [9] - Pure Storage has announced its largest-ever share repurchase authorization of $400 million, reflecting confidence in business momentum and balance sheet strength [12] - WDC's shares have gained 27.1% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry, which increased by 25% [14] Valuation and Estimates - WDC's shares are currently trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 21.83X, compared to the industry's 19.32X [15] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for WDC's earnings for fiscal 2026 has been revised up by 17.4% to $8.96 over the past 60 days [16]