Global Markets: Trump Signals Iran Deal Hopes While China Corporate Bonuses Slump

Group 1: U.S. Political and Economic Developments - President Trump expresses optimism about a potential nuclear agreement with Iran, predicting a deal could be reached within the next month [2] - Trump warns of "very traumatic" consequences for Iran if negotiations fail, indicating a "phase two" escalation that may include deploying a second aircraft carrier to the Middle East [3][10] Group 2: Corporate and Economic Trends in China - Chinese corporations are significantly reducing year-end bonuses due to squeezed profit margins and economic challenges, with 26% of white-collar workers expecting no bonuses for 2025 [4] - Despite the overall trend of cost-cutting, high-growth companies like JD.com have increased their bonus pool by 70%, while tech firms such as ByteDance and CATL continue to offer competitive incentives [5] Group 3: Forex and Commodities Market Insights - The U.S. Dollar maintains a strong position, putting pressure on major currency pairs, with the Pound Sterling approaching the 1.3600 support level ahead of key UK labor data [6][10] - Spot gold prices have fallen over 1% to approximately $4,988 per ounce, affected by low trading volumes due to the closure of Chinese exchanges for the Lunar New Year [7][10] Group 4: Environmental Policy and Aviation Industry - Environmental advocates are pressuring Brussels to reform the EU's aviation climate policy, particularly regarding long-haul flights that account for over 50% of European aviation emissions [8] - Airlines like Ryanair and EasyJet argue that current exemptions for long-haul flights unfairly disadvantage short-haul operators, while legacy carriers are adopting "Green Fares" and sustainable aviation fuel initiatives [9][10]