博时基金董事长张东：策马扬鞭 春启新程

Group 1: Macro Economic Outlook - The global economic environment is becoming increasingly complex, with the Federal Reserve's monetary policy easing nearing its end and a restructuring of global liquidity patterns [1] - China's economic stability and continued openness are expected to enhance the attractiveness of RMB assets in global allocations [1] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" is set to inject continuous industrial momentum into the capital market through strategies like technological innovation, green transformation, and rural revitalization [1] Group 2: Capital Market Opportunities - The stock market presents structural opportunities, particularly in sectors like technology independence, energy transition, and consumer recovery, where companies with real competitiveness will continue to be revalued [2] - Key sectors expected to remain active include high-tech manufacturing and digital economy, with cross-border investment opportunities arising from the linkage between Hong Kong and A-shares [2] - The focus for 2026 will be on fundamental analysis, embracing "new demand" and "new supply" driven by national development and industrial upgrades [2] Group 3: Fixed Income Market Insights - The bond market retains allocation value, with interest rates likely to remain relatively low, supporting the stabilizing role of government bonds and high-grade credit bonds [3] - Investment opportunities will arise from detailed exploration of term spreads and credit spreads, as well as the flexible application of "fixed income plus" strategies [3] - Attention should be given to sub-sectors with low correlation to macro cycles and assets like REITs that provide stable cash flow characteristics [3] Group 4: Asset Allocation Strategy - Asset allocation should emphasize balance and flexibility, transitioning from "single Beta" to "multiple Alpha" strategies to mitigate risks associated with increased market volatility in 2026 [3] - A dynamic allocation approach across equities, fixed income, and alternative assets is recommended to find low-correlation combinations [3] - Strategic emphasis on alternative assets such as gold and certain commodities is advised for diversification, alongside the use of ETFs for efficient and precise risk management [3] Group 5: Financial Sector Developments - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the acceleration of building a financial powerhouse, with significant focus on developing technology finance, green finance, inclusive finance, pension finance, and digital finance [4] - The company aims to deepen research and enhance services to support national goals and create greater value for society and clients [4]