Expeditors' Q4 Earnings Coming Up: What's in Store for the Stock?

Core Viewpoint - Expeditors International of Washington (EXPD) is expected to report a decline in earnings per share (EPS) and revenues for the fourth quarter of 2025, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate indicating a year-over-year decrease of 13.1% in EPS and a 5.4% contraction in revenues [1][2][7]. Financial Performance Expectations - The earnings per share for the upcoming quarter is estimated at $1.46, while revenues are projected to be $2.8 billion [1][2]. - For the full year 2025, the revenue estimate stands at $11.01 billion, reflecting a 3.9% year-over-year increase, and the EPS estimate is $5.92, indicating a 3.5% increase year-over-year [2][3]. Segment Performance Insights - The airfreight services segment is expected to perform well, with revenues estimated at $1.04 billion, surpassing the previous quarter's figures, driven by growth in airfreight tonnage from North and South Asia [6][7]. - Customs brokerage and other services revenues are projected to reach $1.07 billion, marking a 9% increase from the same quarter in 2024 [8]. - Conversely, the ocean freight segment is anticipated to underperform, with revenues estimated at $688 million, reflecting a decline due to oversupply and weak demand in U.S.-China trade [8][9]. Market Conditions and Challenges - The company faces challenges from significant exposure to China, with weakening demand on trans-Pacific routes impacting results [9]. - The overall transportation industry is experiencing pressures from oversupply in ocean freight, which is contributing to downward pressure on rates [8][9]. Historical Performance - In the previous four quarters, Expeditors has consistently beaten earnings estimates, with an average surprise of 13.9% [4]. - The most recent third-quarter results showed earnings of $1.64 per share, exceeding the consensus estimate of $1.40, although total revenues decreased by 4% year-over-year [10].