Why Diamondback (FANG) is Poised to Beat Earnings Estimates Again

Core Insights - Diamondback Energy (FANG) has consistently surpassed earnings estimates, making it a strong candidate for investors looking for reliable performance in the energy sector [1][2]. Earnings Performance - In the last two quarters, Diamondback has exceeded earnings estimates by an average of 4.80% [2]. - For the most recent quarter, the expected earnings were $2.85 per share, but the company reported $3.08 per share, resulting in a surprise of 8.07% [3]. - In the previous quarter, the consensus estimate was $2.63 per share, while the actual earnings were $2.67 per share, leading to a surprise of 1.52% [3]. Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Recent estimates for Diamondback have been increasing, with a positive Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) indicating a strong likelihood of another earnings beat [6][9]. - The current Earnings ESP for Diamondback is +0.91%, suggesting that analysts are optimistic about the company's earnings prospects [9]. - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) indicates a high probability of a positive earnings surprise, with historical data showing that nearly 70% of stocks with this combination beat consensus estimates [7][9]. Earnings ESP Explanation - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate reflecting the latest analyst revisions [8]. - A positive Earnings ESP enhances the predictive power of earnings surprises, while a negative value can diminish it, although it does not necessarily indicate an earnings miss [10].