APA(US:APA) ZACKS·2026-02-18 16:00Core Viewpoint - APA is expected to report a year-over-year decline in earnings and revenues for the quarter ended December 2025, which could significantly impact its stock price depending on how actual results compare to estimates [1][3]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus estimate for APA's quarterly earnings is $0.62 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 21.5% [3]. - Revenues are projected to be $1.92 billion, down 23.2% from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 5.13% lower in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for APA is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of +0.28% [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - A positive Earnings ESP reading suggests a potential earnings beat, especially when combined with a strong Zacks Rank [10]. - However, APA currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat despite the positive Earnings ESP [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, APA exceeded the consensus EPS estimate of $0.74 by delivering earnings of $0.93, resulting in a surprise of +25.68% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, APA has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [14]. Industry Comparison - Matador Resources, another company in the oil and gas sector, is expected to report earnings of $0.79 per share for the same quarter, indicating a year-over-year decline of 56.8% [18]. - Matador's revenues are expected to be $830.78 million, down 14.4% from the previous year, with a Zacks Rank of 4 and an Earnings ESP of -5.58% [19][20].