Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Can the Stock Move Higher?

Core Viewpoint - Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings due to lower revenues, with a consensus outlook indicating a quarterly loss of $0.71 per share, reflecting a -147.3% change from the previous year, and revenues expected to be $408.53 million, down 38% from the year-ago quarter [1][3]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is scheduled for February 25, and the stock may rise if the reported numbers exceed expectations, while a miss could lead to a decline [2]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 45.87% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) model suggests that the Most Accurate Estimate for Sarepta is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in a positive Earnings ESP of +2.11% [12]. - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, indicating a hold position, which suggests a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Sarepta was expected to post earnings of $0.01 per share but instead reported a loss of -$0.13, resulting in a surprise of -1,400.00% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once [14]. Industry Context - In the broader context of the Zacks Medical - Biomedical and Genetics industry, Cytokinetics (CYTK) is also expected to report a loss of $1.48 per share, reflecting a year-over-year change of -17.5%, with revenues expected to be $3.89 million, down 77% from the previous year [18][19].