Key Factors to Watch Ahead of Par Pacific's Q4 Earnings Release

Core Insights - Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (PARR) is scheduled to report its fourth-quarter 2025 results on February 24, 2026, after market close [1] - In the last reported quarter, PARR achieved earnings of $5.95 per share, significantly exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.98 [1] - PARR has had mixed performance in the past four quarters, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate once and beating it three times, resulting in an average surprise of 77.5% [1] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter earnings is $1.21 per share, reflecting a substantial increase of 253.2% compared to the same quarter last year [2] - Revenue estimates for the fourth quarter are projected at $1.71 billion, indicating a decline of 6.55% from the previous year [2] Earnings Prediction - The model predicts an earnings beat for PARR, supported by a positive Earnings ESP of +1.25% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [3] - The combination of these factors enhances the likelihood of an earnings beat for the upcoming report [3] Commodity Price Analysis - Average WTI spot prices for the fourth quarter of 2025 were $60.89, $60.06, and $57.97 per barrel for October, November, and December, respectively [4] - In comparison, the average prices for the same months in 2024 were higher at $71.99, $69.95, and $70.12 per barrel, suggesting a favorable environment for PARR's refining business due to lower crude prices [5] Industry Context - Other major energy companies, including Exxon Mobil (XOM), Chevron (CVX), and BP, have reported their fourth-quarter results, with all three beating their respective Zacks Consensus Estimates [6][7] - XOM reported earnings of $1.71 per share, CVX reported $1.52, and BP reported adjusted earnings of 60 cents per share, all exceeding expectations [6][7]