Did Nvidia Just Deliver a Crushing Blow to AMD?

Core Insights - Nvidia's recent multiyear partnership with Meta, valued at tens of billions, has negatively impacted AMD's stock, which fell by 3% following the announcement [1] - AMD has secured a significant deal with OpenAI for 6 gigawatts of Instinct MI450 GPUs, with projected AI revenue of $14 billion to $15 billion in 2026 [1] Nvidia's Partnership with Meta - Nvidia's partnership with Meta includes deploying millions of Nvidia Blackwell and Rubin GPUs, Grace CPUs, and Spectrum-X networking technology to enhance Meta's AI infrastructure [1] - This partnership marks the first large-scale use of Nvidia's Grace-only CPUs in production applications at Meta, promising improvements in performance per watt [1] - Analysts estimate the deal's value could reach tens of billions, as Meta accounts for about 9% of Nvidia's revenue, intensifying competition in the server CPU market [1] AMD's Position and Future Prospects - Despite the market reaction, AMD maintains a diversified supplier strategy, using in-house MTIA chips and AMD GPUs, which helps manage costs and supply risks [1] - AMD's stock remains positioned for recovery, with significant upcoming product launches, including the MI 500 debut in 2027 and ramp-up of the MI455-powered Helios platform [1] - AMD's data center revenue grew 39% year-over-year in Q4, and the company anticipates revenue growth exceeding 35% annually over the next three to five years, with data center revenue growing at over 60% CAGR [1] Valuation and Investment Opportunity - AMD trades at approximately 19 times next year's earnings, below Nvidia's 23 times, reflecting its growth potential in AI and data centers [1] - Analysts forecast a 46% CAGR for AMD over the next five years, with the recent stock dip presenting a potential buying opportunity for investors [1]