Invesco Gains 16.6% in 3 Months: How to Play the Stock Now

Core Insights - Invesco Ltd.'s shares have increased by 16.6% over the past three months, outperforming the industry and the S&P 500 Index [1][9] - The company's assets under management (AUM) have shown a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10% from 2020 to 2025, driving fee-based revenues [4][9] - Strategic partnerships and restructuring efforts are aimed at enhancing operational efficiency and expanding market capabilities [5][11] Performance Overview - Invesco's share price has significantly outperformed its peers, with a 16.6% increase compared to BlackRock's 5.3% and AllianceBernstein's 5.9% [1][9] - The company has rebounded in total operating revenues in 2024 and 2025 after a challenging operating environment [6][9] Growth Drivers - The steady growth in AUM is a key factor for revenue generation, with strategic initiatives like partnerships with LGT Capital Partners and MassMutual's Barings to enhance private market capabilities [4][5] - The conversion of the Invesco QQQ Trust into an open-end ETF structure is expected to generate revenues from over $400 billion in AUM [5] Financial Estimates - Zacks Consensus Estimates for Invesco's sales indicate a growth trajectory, with current quarter estimates at $1.25 billion and next year at $5.58 billion, reflecting year-over-year growth of 12.35% [10] - Earnings estimates for 2026 and 2027 have been revised upward, with projections of $2.66 and $3.03 respectively, indicating growth rates of 31% and 13.6% [18][19] Strategic Initiatives - Invesco is executing a broad transformation strategy, including a partnership with CI Global Asset Management to enhance Canadian operations and divesting stakes in certain subsidiaries [11][12] - The company is focusing on a hybrid Alpha investment platform to drive long-term cost savings and operational scalability [11] Global Presence - Invesco has a diversified global footprint, with 31.2% of its client AUM sourced from markets outside the United States, bolstered by the acquisition of Europe-based Source [12] Capital Management - The company maintains solid liquidity, allowing for consistent capital returns to shareholders, including a 2.4% increase in quarterly dividends [13][14] - Invesco has $232.2 million remaining under its share buyback authorization and plans to repurchase $40 million worth of shares in Q1 2026 [14] Challenges - Invesco faces rising operating expenses, with a CAGR of 6.2% over the past five years, primarily due to increased distribution and advisory costs [15] - The company holds $12.4 billion in goodwill and intangible assets, which could pose risks to earnings stability due to potential impairment [16]