Keurig Dr Pepper Q4 Earnings Approaching: Will It Surprise Investors?

Core Insights - Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) is expected to report fourth-quarter 2025 results on February 24, with projected revenue of $4.36 billion, reflecting a 7.2% increase year-over-year [1][9] - The consensus estimate for KDP's earnings per share (EPS) remains at 59 cents, indicating a 1.7% year-over-year growth [2] Financial Performance - KDP's Refreshment Beverages segment is projected to generate $2.7 billion in revenue, a 12.5% increase from the previous year, driven by pricing and volume gains [5][9] - The company has achieved an average earnings surprise of 3.1% over the last four quarters, with the last quarter showing a break-even earnings surprise [2] Growth Drivers - Continued strength in brand performance, pricing actions, and expansion initiatives are contributing positively to KDP's results [3][4] - The company is focusing on premium and cold coffee innovations, along with partnerships to enhance its product portfolio [4] Challenges - KDP faces challenges from tariff and inflationary pressures, particularly in green coffee prices, and has been experiencing a sluggish performance in its Coffee segment [6][9] - Elevated selling, general and administrative (SG&A) costs, including increased marketing investments, are also impacting profitability [6] Valuation - KDP's stock is currently trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 13.25x, which is below its five-year high of 23.33x and the industry average of 20.08x, indicating potential value for investors [7] Market Performance - KDP's shares have increased by 8.4% over the past three months, compared to the industry's growth of 12.5% [8]