Core Viewpoint - Michael James McDonald is a stock market forecaster and author who emphasizes the importance of contrary opinion and investor sentiment in predicting market trends [1] Group 1: Background and Publications - McDonald served as Senior Vice President of Investments at Morgan Stanley and has been a long-term advocate for measuring investor sentiment [1] - His first book, "A Strategic Guide to the Coming Roller Coaster Market," was published in July 2000, predicting the end of the 18-year bull market and the onset of a trading range market [1] - A second book, "Predict Market Swings With Technical Analysis," was published in 2002 [1] Group 2: Market Predictions - On August 31, 2010, McDonald declared the end of a ten-year trading range market and the beginning of a new long-term bull market [1] - He notes that emotions of fear and greed can drive 50% or more of a stock's price, highlighting the significance of investor expectations [1] Group 3: Sentiment Analysis - McDonald has developed metrics to measure when too many investors have similar expectations, which can indicate potential market reversals [1] - Through his company, the Sentiment King, he continues to analyze investor psychology to forecast major stock trends [1]
What Options Say About Palantir For The Intermediate-Term (Technical Analysis)