美国政府消息人士：未来几周内爆发战争的可能性高达90%

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. military is preparing for a potential large-scale bombing operation against Iran, with an increase in fighter jets and support aircraft being deployed to the Middle East [1][2]. Group 1: Military Deployment - A significant number of U.S. fighter jets and aerial refueling aircraft have been observed moving eastward, indicating preparations for military action [2]. - Over 50 U.S. fighter jets, including F-35s and F-16s, were deployed to the region within 24 hours as of the evening of February 17 [2]. - The deployment includes heavy bombers such as B-2 stealth bombers and potentially B-52 bombers, which were previously used in attacks on Iranian nuclear facilities [3]. Group 2: Strategic Intent - Analysts suggest that the increase in military presence may be aimed at clearing the way for heavy bombers to strike key targets in Iran [2]. - The U.S. Vice President indicated that Iran has not recognized the "red lines" set by President Trump, leaving the intent of the military buildup uncertain [6]. - Experts believe that if Iran retaliates, the U.S. has additional air and ground-based combat aircraft ready for defensive operations [7]. Group 3: Timing and Predictions - A U.S. government source stated that the likelihood of war breaking out in the coming weeks is as high as 90% [2]. - An Israeli former intelligence chief predicted that military action could occur within days [2][7]. - The military buildup follows the second round of indirect negotiations between the U.S. and Iran held in Geneva on February 17 [5].