Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC forecasts that Zhiyu (02513) will achieve revenues of 720 million, 1.75 billion, 3.67 billion, and 7.67 billion yuan from 2025 to 2028, with a CAGR of 120% [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Zhiyu is a leading large model vendor in China and globally, founded in 2019, focusing on the GLM series foundational models [1] - The latest foundational model, GLM-5, has achieved state-of-the-art (SOTA) performance in multiple benchmark scores and has received widespread acclaim from domestic and international users [1] Group 2: Revenue Growth and Business Model - The company is expected to see a revenue CAGR of over 130% from 2023 to 2027, driven by its MaaS platform and API revenue, which is projected to become a major growth engine [2] - By early 2026, the annual recurring revenue (ARR) from API-related services is estimated to approach 600 million yuan, reflecting several times growth compared to the previous year [2] Group 3: Market Potential and Competitive Advantage - The total addressable market (TAM) for AI Coding is estimated to reach one trillion yuan, with Zhiyu positioned to lead in this early penetration stage [3] - The company has core advantages in the Coding scenario, including low hallucination rates, high stability, and strong reasoning and tool usage capabilities, which are expected to help it maintain a leading position [3] Group 4: Differentiation from Market Perspectives - CICC's outlook differs from the market by emphasizing Zhiyu's foundational model capabilities and its ongoing leadership in the AI Coding space, which is likely to attract a broader domestic and international customer base [4] Group 5: Potential Catalysts - Potential catalysts for growth include the release of new generation models and high growth in API and Coding ARR [5]
中金：予智谱(02513)“跑赢行业”评级 目标价688港元