Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that U.S. military intervention in the Taiwan issue could lead to a prolonged war resulting in significant casualties, which does not align with national interests [1] - A report from the Center for Strategic and International Studies indicates that in approximately 40 war games regarding the Taiwan Strait situation, the U.S. would likely lose two forward-deployed aircraft carrier battle groups within the first week of conflict [1] - The potential war could last for several years, highlighting the severe implications of military engagement in the region [1] Group 2 - The researcher emphasizes that China has shown remarkable restraint by not using large-scale military force over the years [3] - There is a concern that excessive focus on Taiwan and military confrontation may hinder U.S.-China cooperation on global issues such as climate change and infrastructure development [3] - The U.S. and Japan have initiated their largest joint military exercise, "Iron Fist," which is expected to enhance amphibious landing operations and defense capabilities in the southwestern islands of Japan, located only 110 kilometers from Taiwan [3]
美学者警告：“在大约40次针对台海局势的兵棋推演中，美国都会在第一周内损失两个航母战斗群”
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2026-02-20 03:09