Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley reports that Macau's total gaming revenue for the first fifteen days of February reached 8.8 billion MOP, indicating an average daily revenue of approximately 587 million MOP, with a recent decline to 543 million MOP in the past week compared to 625 million MOP in the first week of February and 730 million MOP in January [1][2] Group 1: Revenue Analysis - The slowdown in gaming revenue is attributed to seasonal factors related to the Lunar New Year and lower win rates in VIP rooms, suggesting that the pre-New Year performance does not accurately reflect true demand [1][2] - Future gaming revenue is expected to remain volatile, with average daily revenue projected to range between 850 million to 1 billion MOP and 750 million to 800 million MOP in the third and fourth weeks of February, respectively [1][2] - Total gaming revenue for February is forecasted to grow by 2% to 5% year-on-year, reaching between 20.1 billion to 20.7 billion MOP, translating to an average daily revenue of 720 million to 740 million MOP, with a combined growth of 13% to 14% for the first two months [1][2] Group 2: Stock Recommendations - The company advises investors to focus on individual stocks rather than waiting for an overall industry valuation reassessment, naming Galaxy Entertainment (00027) as the top pick with an 'overweight' rating [1][2] - Other preferred stocks include MGM China (02282), Sands China (01928), Wynn Macau (01128), Melco Resorts (MLCO.US), Melco International (00200), and SJM Holdings (00880) [1][2]
小摩:预测2月份澳门博彩总收入最多同比增长5% 列银河娱乐为首选