Bull Of The Day: Nebius Group (NBIS)

Core Viewpoint - Nebius Group (NBIS) is recognized as a strong investment opportunity due to its rapid growth in AI-centric cloud infrastructure and significant private company investments [1] Company Overview - Nebius Group NV is a technology company providing infrastructure and services to AI builders globally, including Nebius AI, a full-stack cloud platform with large-scale GPU clusters and developer tools [2] - The company operates specialized brands such as Toloka AI for generative AI data, TripleTen for tech career re-skilling, and Avride for autonomous driving technology [2] Earnings History - Nebius Group has shown mixed earnings performance, with a positive surprise of 25% two quarters ago, reporting a loss of 39 cents against an expected loss of 52 cents [4] - Recently, the company reported a loss of 69 cents, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of 44 cents, resulting in a negative surprise of -56% [4] Financial Performance - The company is currently at an annual revenue run rate of $1.25 billion and anticipates capital expenditures (CapEx) between $16 billion and $20 billion for the year, with at least 60% funded from operations [5] - The consensus revenue estimate for Nebius Group is $8.7 billion, indicating potential for spinning out private company investments [5] Earnings Estimates Revisions - Earnings estimates for Nebius Group have improved, with the fiscal year 2026 loss estimate revised from $3.06 to $2.12 and fiscal 2027 from $1.28 to $0.84 over the past 60 days [7] Valuation - Nebius Group is projected to achieve sales of $3.25 billion in 2026, reflecting a remarkable 508% revenue growth, with analysts estimating $8.7 billion in revenue for 2026, equating to 167% growth [8] - The current price-to-book ratio is 5.5x, indicating a balance of growth and value, while the price-to-sales ratio stands at 48x, expected to decrease significantly due to anticipated topline growth [8] Private Company Investments - Nebius Group holds a 28% stake in ClickHouse, an AI-focused open-source database platform valued at approximately $15 billion [9] - The company owns 83% of AVRIDE, an autonomous driving technology firm recently valued at nearly $3 billion [9] - Toloka, a data labeling and AI development platform controlled by Nebius, has a valuation estimate between $500 million and $850 million, having recently raised $72 million [10] - TripleTen, an edtech platform for tech career re-skilling, is also controlled by Nebius, with valuation estimates ranging from $50 million to $800 million and reported an 88% revenue growth in 2025, reaching around $41 million [10]