GDP grew 2.2% in 2025. The economy might do even better this year.

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. economy grew at a subpar annual rate of 1.4% in the fourth quarter of 2025, significantly impacted by a record 43-day federal shutdown that led to a substantial decrease in government spending [1] Economic Performance - The annual growth rate of 1.4% in Q4 2025 indicates a sluggish economic performance compared to historical standards [1] - The federal shutdown lasting 43 days is noted as a record, highlighting the severity of the disruption to government operations and spending [1] Government Spending Impact - The shutdown resulted in a significant decline in government spending, which is a critical component of overall economic activity [1]