Economic Growth - U.S. GDP growth in Q4 2025 was reported at an annualized rate of 1.4%, a decline of three percentage points from the previous quarter [2] - The U.S. Congressional Budget Office estimated that the government shutdown could reduce annualized real GDP growth in Q4 by up to 2 percentage points [3] Government Shutdown Impact - The government shutdown, which lasted 43 days starting October 1, 2025, was linked to the slowdown in economic growth [2] - President Trump attributed a significant portion of the GDP decline to the "Democrat Shutdown," suggesting it cost the U.S. at least two points in GDP [1] Economic Forecasts - Prior to the shutdown, economists from Dow Jones had estimated a 2.5% GDP gain for the same period, indicating a significant deviation from actual results [3] Information Disclosure Concerns - There are concerns regarding President Trump's early disclosure of economic data, which raises questions about potential policy violations and the fairness of market information access [4] - The Office of Management and Budget prohibits early comments on economic data releases by executive branch officials [4]
Trump previewed weak GDP on Truth Social ahead of official data release