Is Walmart Still a Buy After Its Strong Run?

Core Insights - Walmart's stock has increased approximately 13% year to date, benefiting from a shift in investor focus towards more defensive retail names as consumer confidence declines [1] Financial Performance - Walmart's revenue rose 5.6% to $190.66 billion, exceeding the consensus estimate of $190.43 billion [3] - Walmart U.S. store sales increased by 4.6% to $129.2 billion, with same-store sales also rising by 4.6% [3] - International sales jumped 11.5% to $31.2 billion, with a 7.5% increase in constant currencies [5] - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) rose 12% to $0.74, with gross margin increasing by 13 basis points [7] E-commerce and Advertising Growth - E-commerce sales grew by 27%, with customers using the AI tool spending 35% more than non-users [4] - International e-commerce sales increased by 17%, and U.S. ad revenue surged by 41% [4][5] Future Projections - Walmart projects first-quarter sales growth between 3.5% to 4.5% and adjusted EPS of $0.63 to $0.65 [9] - For the full year, revenue growth is expected to be between 3.5% to 4.5%, with adjusted EPS projected at $2.75 to $2.85, which is below the consensus of $2.96 [9] Investment Considerations - Despite strong revenue growth and operational improvements, the stock's forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio above 40 times raises concerns about valuation given mid-single-digit revenue growth [10]