Prediction Market Flashes a Stock Market Correction Warning. History Says the S&P 500 May Drop Even Further in 2026.
Yahoo Finance·2026-02-21 08:32

The S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) has traded sideways during the first few weeks of 2026, but investors have reason to think the benchmark index will decline sharply at some point this year. Contracts on the popular prediction market Kalshi predict a stock market correction is more likely than not, and history puts the odds of a bear market at approximately 50% in 2026. Here's what investors should know. Will AI create the world's first trillionaire? Our team just released a report on the one little-known com ...