‘Money's moving out of tech’: Wall Street weighs stock market winners amid the AI scare trade

Core Viewpoint - Investors are shifting their focus from technology and large-cap stocks to sectors benefiting from AI-driven investments, leading to a rotation in market dynamics [1][2]. Sector Performance - Technology (XLK) and Consumer Discretionary (XLY) sectors remain negative year-to-date, while Financials (XLF) also show a decline [1]. - Energy stocks (XLE) have increased by 22% since the beginning of the year, driven by rising oil prices and demand, with Chevron (CVX) and ExxonMobil (XOM) shares up 20% and 22% respectively [2]. - Materials (XLB) and Industrial stocks (XLI) have risen by 15% and 14% respectively, attributed to AI infrastructure buildouts and reshoring trends [3]. - Defensive sectors like Consumer Staples (XLP) are gaining traction, with Walmart (WMT) reaching an all-time high [3]. Market Dynamics - The current market rotation is intensified by volatility, with portfolio rebalancing occurring as investors move from overvalued sectors to more stable areas [4]. - The Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) has seen a decline of 23% year-to-date due to fears surrounding AI's impact on traditional enterprise software roles [5]. - Cybersecurity firms have also faced declines, with shares of CrowdStrike (CRWD), Zscaler (ZS), and Cloudflare (NET) dropping significantly following new AI security tool announcements [6]. Economic Outlook - Profit growth and potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve are expected to support a broadening stock market, with predictions of two to three rate cuts in 2026 [7]. - UBS strategists anticipate healthy profit growth across sectors, supported by a resilient US economy and ongoing easing cycles [7].