Group 1 - The ongoing geopolitical tension between the US and Iran is escalating, with the US military potentially preparing for strikes against Iran, employing a strategy of "small strikes" followed by "larger strikes" [1] - Iran possesses approximately 2,000 medium-range ballistic missiles, capable of reaching as far as western Turkey, Israel, and US military bases in the Gulf region, indicating its ability to retaliate if attacked [1] - The Strait of Hormuz is a critical geopolitical asset for Iran, through which about 20% of the world's oil supply is transported, and Iran has threatened to close this strait in the event of military action [2][1] Group 2 - The international oil prices have reached new highs amid the escalating US-Iran confrontation, and a conflict could severely disrupt the global energy supply chain, affecting even the US economy [2] - Iran's historical experience with negotiations, particularly the 2015 nuclear deal, has made it wary of compromising, as past concessions did not lead to lasting peace but rather further aggression [4][5] - The current standoff is seen by Iran as a matter of national survival and dignity, with the Supreme Leader emphasizing that true national strength comes from the will of the people, not just military might [5][1] Group 3 - The potential for a prolonged conflict poses risks for the US, as its military operations in Iran would be complicated by the country's strong military capabilities and regional networks, which could lead to a drawn-out engagement [7] - The political implications for the US are significant, as a long-term war could contradict President Trump's campaign promise to end endless wars, potentially jeopardizing his support among key voter groups [7][1] - The ongoing struggle reflects a complex interplay of military strength, geographical significance, historical lessons, and current political realities, with both sides testing each other's limits [10][1]
美国大军压境,伊朗为何“还不屈服”?
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2026-02-23 13:28