国泰海通:首次覆盖蔚来-SW(09866)给予“增持”评级 目标价50.59港元
智通财经网·2026-02-24 02:31

Core Viewpoint - Cathay Securities initiates coverage on NIO-SW (09866) with a "Buy" rating, citing increased sales and a higher proportion of high-priced models leading to the first quarterly profit in Q4 2025, with projected revenues of 87 billion, 130.6 billion, and 161.4 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [1] Group 1: Sales Performance - The company achieved a record quarterly delivery of 125,000 vehicles in Q4 2025, a year-on-year increase of 72%, with NIO, Ladao, and Firefly brands delivering 67,000, 38,000, and 19,000 vehicles respectively, all setting historical highs [2] - The newly launched high-end model ES8 accounted for 32% of Q4 sales, significantly boosting overall profitability [2] - The adjusted operating profit (Non-GAAP) for Q4 2025 is estimated to be between 700 million and 1.2 billion yuan, while the GAAP operating profit is projected to be around 200 million to 700 million yuan, marking the first quarterly profit [2] Group 2: Product Expansion - Since 2025, the company has launched several models including Firefly, the new ES8, and Ladao L90, continuously enhancing its product lineup [3] - The new ES8 sold 22,000 units in December 2025, becoming the best-selling model in the large SUV, large three-row SUV, and models priced above 400,000 yuan categories [3] - The company plans to introduce new products such as NIO ES9, NIO ES7, and Ladao L80 in 2026 to further enrich its product matrix and enhance market competitiveness [3] Group 3: Technological Development - The company has established a comprehensive technology system centered on self-developed intelligent driving chips, a full-domain operating system, and world model algorithms, as reported in the 2025 annual report [4] - The company is expected to enter a harvest phase for its investments in smart technology, which is likely to drive improvements in product capability and sales [4]

Guotai Haitong Securities-国泰海通:首次覆盖蔚来-SW(09866)给予“增持”评级 目标价50.59港元 - Reportify