机构：国际油价回升 国内成品油零售价格或开启上调窗口

Core Viewpoint - The domestic retail price of refined oil in China is expected to increase due to rising international crude oil prices, with the next adjustment window anticipated to open on February 24, 2026 [1]. Group 1: Price Adjustments - The reference change rate for crude oil as of February 23 is 3.98%, leading to an expected increase of 175 yuan per ton for gasoline and 170 yuan per ton for diesel [1]. - The price increase translates to an expected rise of 0.14 yuan for 92 gasoline, 0.15 yuan for 95 gasoline, and 0.14 yuan for 0 diesel per liter [1]. Group 2: Impact on Consumers and Industries - For private car owners, filling a 50L tank will cost an additional 7 yuan, and over a month of driving 2000 kilometers, the fuel cost will increase by approximately 10 yuan [2]. - In the logistics sector, a heavy truck running 10,000 kilometers with a fuel consumption of 38L per 100 kilometers will see an increase in fuel costs of about 231 yuan before the next price adjustment window [2]. Group 3: Market Outlook - The crude oil market will continue to be influenced by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which are expected to support oil prices despite being at a high level [2]. - The next adjustment window for refined oil prices is projected for March 9, 2026, with the crude oil change rate remaining in a positive range [2].