上市险企2025业绩前瞻:Q4净利或受投资波动影响,人身险NBV有望高增
Huan Qiu Wang·2026-02-24 05:27

Core Viewpoint - The A-share listed insurance companies are experiencing a positive trend in stock prices, with the insurance sector showing robust fundamentals and a significant increase in premium income and net profits in 2025 [1][3]. Group 1: Industry Performance - In 2025, the insurance industry's original premium income exceeded 6.12 trillion yuan, marking a 7.4% year-on-year growth [1]. - The five major listed insurance companies achieved a total net profit of 426 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a 33.5% increase year-on-year, setting a historical record [1]. - The life insurance sector's original premium income is projected to grow by 8.9% in 2025, with total assets increasing from 19.98 trillion yuan at the end of 2020 to 36.39 trillion yuan by 2025, an 82% increase [4]. Group 2: Business Growth Drivers - The growth in new business value (NBV) for listed insurance companies is expected to remain high in 2025, driven by strong insurance demand and the transformation of the bancassurance channel [4]. - The bancassurance channel is identified as a key driver for new single premium growth, with China Pacific Insurance reporting an 11.7% year-on-year increase in new single premiums, while agent channel new premiums decreased by 9.9% [4]. - The demand for savings-type insurance products is expected to remain strong, with the bancassurance channel continuing to be the main growth driver into 2026 [5][6]. Group 3: Property Insurance Insights - In 2025, property insurance companies achieved original premium income of 1.76 trillion yuan, a 3.92% increase year-on-year, with auto insurance contributing 940.9 billion yuan and non-auto insurance 816.1 billion yuan [7]. - The combined cost ratio (COR) for listed insurance companies is anticipated to improve in 2025 due to reduced external claims and enhanced cost control measures [7]. - The outlook for 2026 suggests that the competitive edge of leading companies will strengthen, with expectations of stable premium growth and a decrease in the combined cost ratio [7]. Group 4: Future Industry Trends - The insurance industry is expected to focus on high-quality development and structural optimization over the next 1-2 years, consolidating the achievements of 2025 [8]. - The core support for life insurance development will hinge on the effectiveness of channel transformation and product structure optimization, enhancing customer service and product supply [8]. - Property insurance will benefit from ongoing improvements in the combined cost ratio, with a focus on refined management to enhance underwriting quality and optimize claims processes [8].

上市险企2025业绩前瞻:Q4净利或受投资波动影响,人身险NBV有望高增 - Reportify