贵金属市场节后首日全线上行 白银期货合约涨近12%

Core Viewpoint - The international precious metals market has experienced significant fluctuations due to geopolitical tensions and U.S. trade policy, with prices showing a "roller coaster" trend during the Spring Festival holiday [1] Group 1: Market Performance - On February 24, domestic markets opened strongly after the holiday, with gold futures rising by 3.52% to 1150.50 yuan per gram, and silver futures increasing by nearly 13% to 22327 yuan per kilogram [1] - Platinum and palladium also saw gains, with platinum futures up 5.54% to 551.85 yuan per gram and palladium futures up 4.57% to 438.45 yuan per gram [1] Group 2: Economic Indicators - The U.S. GDP growth rate for Q4 2025 was reported at 1.4%, significantly below the expected 2.5% and the revised Q3 figure of 4.4% [2] - U.S. inflation remains persistent, with the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index rising by 2.9% in Q4 2025, up from 2.8% previously, while the core CPI for January fell to 2.5%, the lowest in nearly five years [2] Group 3: Geopolitical Factors - U.S. President Trump announced an increase in global tariffs from 10% to 15%, which has heightened demand for safe-haven assets like precious metals [3] Group 4: Market Volatility and Investment Strategy - Market volatility is expected to be a key characteristic of the precious metals market in 2026, with analysts suggesting that investors should manage their positions carefully [4] - Despite short-term fluctuations, the macro structural factors supporting gold remain intact, including ongoing central bank purchases and geopolitical risks [4] Group 5: Investment Sentiment - A global fund manager survey by Bank of America indicated that "long gold" has become the most crowded trade for the second consecutive month, reflecting high institutional interest in gold assets [5]