关税推高不确定性但金价或盘整

Group 1 - The current spot gold price is 1145.39 yuan per gram, reflecting an increase of 9.16 yuan or 0.81% from the previous trading day, indicating a rebound trend [1] - The opening price for the day was 1135.87 yuan per gram, with a daily high of 1147.51 yuan and a low of 1132.59 yuan [1] Group 2 - Trump's announcement to raise global import taxes to 15% after the Supreme Court's rejection of his "reciprocal tariffs" has created market turmoil, with a 10% import tax directive already in effect [2] - The uncertainty from the tariffs is providing marginal support for gold, although it is not sufficient for a decisive breakout; actual interest rates and a strong dollar suggest that gold prices may consolidate rather than surge [2] - Investor demand for safe-haven assets has led to a recovery in gold prices, which had previously plummeted, with speculative buying pushing prices back above 5000 dollars after a significant drop from a historical high of 5595 dollars [2] Group 3 - UBS's global wealth management CIO Haefele predicts that geopolitical events will increase volatility and support gold hedging demand, forecasting gold prices to reach 6200 dollars in the coming months [3] - The U.S. has amassed its largest military presence in the Middle East since 2003, with ongoing nuclear negotiations with Iran, and Trump has indicated a preference for diplomatic solutions while warning of severe consequences if negotiations fail [3] Group 4 - Gold prices have recorded four consecutive days of gains, but a recent decline has led to a technical adjustment, testing the support area around the 5-day moving average, which is currently near 5120 [4] - The recent low of 5092 is now an important support level, having previously been a resistance area during the upward trend; the 5100-5090 range is seen as a critical dividing line for market sentiment [4] - Key resistance levels to watch include 5190, which is the rebound high after a significant drop, and stronger resistance at the 0.786 retracement level of 5216 and the previous high of 5250 [4]