COMEX白银上演三段式上涨 多头目标90美元

Core Viewpoint - The silver market has experienced a significant increase due to geopolitical tensions and trade tariff concerns, alongside expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve following the recent CPI data release [1][3]. Group 1: Market Trends - As of February 13, the COMEX silver main contract closed at $84.57 per ounce, marking a weekly increase of 8.47% [1]. - The precious metals market has shown a three-phase increase during the Spring Festival, driven by data support, geopolitical uplift, and policy triggers [3]. Group 2: Economic Indicators - The upcoming March 19 FOMC meeting will be crucial for assessing the Fed's interest rate cut path, with attention also on the U.S. non-farm payroll report and CPI data in early to mid-March [3]. - A potential implementation of a 15% temporary tariff could lead to reciprocal measures from trade partners like the EU and China, further increasing safe-haven demand [3]. Group 3: Technical Analysis - The bullish target for March silver futures is to close above the key resistance level of $90.00, while the bearish target is to push prices below the February low of $71.815 [4]. - The first resistance level is set at $88.00, with further resistance at $90.00; the first support level is at the overnight low of $84.56, followed by support at $83.00 [4]. Group 4: Investment Sentiment - The largest silver ETF, SLV, saw a reduction in holdings by 524.1 tons, bringing the total to 15,517.6 tons, indicating a potential outflow of investment demand [3].