特朗普话音刚落金价又飙了！投行预测：若美伊开战，黄金冲到5800！

Core Viewpoint - The resurgence of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East is creating new momentum for the gold market, with potential for gold prices to reach historical highs if tensions escalate [2][8]. Group 1: Gold Price Predictions - According to Natixis analyst Bernard Dahdah, if the confrontation between the U.S. government and Iran escalates, gold prices could rise by 15% due to increased safe-haven demand [2][8]. - Dahdah estimates that gold prices could reach between $5,500 and $5,800 per ounce within two weeks following an attack, as the market adjusts to the situation [2][8]. - As of the latest report, spot gold has surpassed $5,200 per ounce, reflecting a daily increase of 1.13% [3][9]. Group 2: Geopolitical Context - The report indicates that the Trump administration is likely to follow a limited action approach, focusing on removing high-level Iranian figures while maintaining the regime structure, similar to its strategy in Venezuela [4][9]. - President Trump has expressed concerns about Iran's nuclear ambitions, suggesting that military action could be considered if negotiations fail, although he prefers to reach an agreement [10][11]. - Iranian officials, including Foreign Minister Zarif, have stated that they will not pursue nuclear weapons, emphasizing the need for diplomatic solutions [11].