海通国际：维持石药集团(01093)“优于大市”评级 目标价13.07港元

Core Viewpoint - Haitong International reports that the main business revenue and profit of CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (01093) have bottomed out, with expectations of returning to an upward cycle by 2026 and benefiting from the launch of oncology and metabolic innovative products starting in 2027 [1] Group 1: Financial Projections - The potential milestone revenue for CSPC Pharmaceutical Group is estimated at $5.8 billion (approximately RMB 40.6 billion), which is expected to enhance the company's profits over the next 3-5 years [1] - Haitong International has adjusted the revenue forecasts for FY25, FY26, and FY27 to RMB 26.7 billion, RMB 28.9 billion, and RMB 30.6 billion respectively [5] - The net profit forecasts for FY25, FY26, and FY27 have been adjusted to RMB 4.4 billion, RMB 4.6 billion, and RMB 5.3 billion respectively [6] Group 2: Research and Development Capabilities - CSPC Pharmaceutical Group has completed seven external cooperation transactions in the past two years, with total upfront payments of $1.71 billion and potential milestone amounts exceeding $30 billion [1] - The company has established a strong research and development platform, evidenced by collaborations with AstraZeneca, indicating its global influence and value [1] - The company is recognized for its small nucleic acid platform, which covers popular liver delivery targets and is ahead of domestic peers in development [2] Group 3: Product Pipeline and Market Potential - The SYS6010 (EGFR-ADC) has accumulated clinical data from over a thousand patients, showing potential as a best-in-class product [3] - The company has initiated a Phase III clinical trial for SYS6010 in China and plans to advance global Phase III trials within the year [3] - CSPC has received the first clinical approval in China for its in vivo CAR-T product, SYS6055, which is expected to have advantages in cost, accessibility, and immediacy compared to traditional CAR-T products [4]