国际观察｜一场演讲，难掩颓势

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses President Trump's State of the Union address, highlighting his attempts to showcase achievements in immigration, economy, and foreign policy, while facing significant media fact-checking and political opposition [1][2]. Economic Performance - Trump claimed that inflation has decreased, oil prices have dropped, the stock market is performing well, and employment has increased, asserting that the U.S. is in a "golden age" [2]. - However, media fact-checks revealed that the U.S. economic growth rate is projected to slow to 2.2% by 2025, the lowest since 2020, and the unemployment rate rose to 4.3% year-on-year in January [2][3]. - No state in the U.S. has an average gas price as low as the $2.3 per gallon claimed by Trump [2]. Public Opinion and Political Climate - A joint poll indicated that approximately 60% of Americans disapprove of Trump's economic policies, reflecting a lack of public support for his self-promotion [3]. - Trump's address coincided with setbacks in his tariff and immigration policies, suggesting a struggle to regain momentum in his presidency [3][6]. Political Division - The political environment surrounding the address was marked by heightened polarization, with Republicans and Democrats engaging in mutual criticism rather than substantive dialogue [4]. - The event featured dramatic moments, such as protests from Democratic representatives and a stark contrast in reactions from party members [4]. Election Implications - Trump's speech aimed to rally support for the upcoming midterm elections, but his approval rating has dropped to 36%, down from 48% a year prior [6]. - Concerns over economic pressures and dissatisfaction with immigration policies may jeopardize Republican chances in the midterms, with predictions of potential losses in the House of Representatives [6].