国际观察丨一场演讲，难掩颓势

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses President Trump's State of the Union address, highlighting his self-promotion in areas such as immigration, economy, and foreign policy, while facing significant media fact-checking and political opposition from both parties [1][4][9]. Economic Performance - Trump claimed that inflation has decreased, oil prices have dropped, the stock market is performing well, and employment has increased, asserting that the U.S. is in a "golden era" [1]. - However, media reports indicate that the U.S. economic growth rate is projected to slow to 2.2% in 2025, the lowest since 2020, and the unemployment rate rose to 4.3% year-on-year in January [3]. - A joint poll revealed that approximately 60% of Americans do not approve of Trump's economic policies, indicating a disconnect between his claims and public sentiment [4]. Political Dynamics - The address has been characterized as a political "show" where both parties engaged in mutual criticism, reflecting the increasing polarization in U.S. politics [5]. - During the speech, there were notable moments of tension, including protests from Democratic representatives and a stark contrast in reactions between Republican and Democratic members [6][8]. - Approximately 30 Democratic lawmakers chose to boycott the address, opting instead to participate in an alternative event highlighting the negative impacts of Trump's policies [8]. Public Sentiment and Election Implications - Trump's efforts to rally support for the upcoming midterm elections are viewed skeptically, with polls showing his approval rating has dropped to 36%, down from 48% a year prior [9]. - Concerns over economic pressures and dissatisfaction with immigration policies are rising among the public, which could negatively impact Republican prospects in the midterm elections [11].