Core Viewpoint - The report from CITIC Securities indicates that the supply and demand for special electronic fabrics, particularly 7628 electronic fabric, is currently tight, similar to the storage supercycle, leading to a strong incentive for companies to continue transitioning to special fabrics, which compresses the marginal capacity of weaving machines [1][10]. Group 1: Price Trends and Investment Returns - As of February 9, 2026, the average price of 7628 electronic fabric is 5.11 yuan/meter, having increased by 0.4 yuan/meter, validating the price increase logic [2]. - CITIC Securities estimates that the price of 7628 electronic fabric could rise to 8 yuan/meter based on investment return comparisons [2]. - The investment returns for weaving machines and production lines for low dielectric fabrics are significantly high, with returns of 300% for 7628 electronic fabric at 8 yuan/meter [2][4]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The demand for special fabrics is expected to increase by 100% in 2026 due to rapid growth in AI demand, leading to a continued supply shortage [10]. - Major glass fabric manufacturers in Taiwan are transitioning from E-glass to Low-Dk glass fabric, confirming the tight supply and demand for special electronic fabrics [10]. - The current electronic fabric demand cycle is primarily driven by AI, which is expected to have stronger growth and sustainability compared to previous cycles [5]. Group 3: Market Projections - The overall demand for low dielectric materials in the GPU and switch markets is projected to grow significantly, with total demand reaching 27,333 million meters by 2027 [11]. - The demand for LowDK-1 and LowDK-2 fabrics is expected to evolve, with LowDK-1 demand peaking at 9,967 million meters in 2026 [11]. - The market for low dielectric materials is anticipated to see substantial growth, driven by both GPU and switch markets [11].
中信证券:从特种布视角看7628电子布价格上涨空间