Industry Overview - The total express delivery volume for the first eight weeks of 2026 reached 32.734 billion pieces, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.40% [1][2] - The competition landscape in the express delivery industry is accelerating differentiation, shifting from quantity competition to quality competition as the industry pursues high-quality development [1][4] Company Performance - In January, the express delivery volumes were as follows: YTO Express at 2.943 billion pieces, Shentong Express at 2.540 billion pieces, Yunda at 2.231 billion pieces, and SF Express at 1.386 billion pieces [3] - The growth rates for January were led by YTO Express at 29.75%, followed by Shentong Express at 25.57%, and Yunda at 10.83% [3] - SF Express saw an increase in average single ticket price to 14.72 yuan, up by 0.91 yuan month-on-month, indicating a shift from scale-driven to value-driven growth [3] Investment Recommendations - SF Express is recommended as a leading comprehensive express logistics company, expected to enter a new development phase with improved cash flow and operational strategies [4] - The company is anticipated to benefit from the rapid growth of the instant retail sector, with its same-city delivery business poised for strategic opportunities [4] - The express delivery industry is expected to see continued recovery in profitability due to price adjustments initiated since August 2025, with a focus on leading companies like ZTO Express and YTO Express [4]
国海证券:头部快递量价各有分化 业绩估值有望双重修复