地缘局势阶段性缓和 国际黄金高位宽幅震荡

Core Viewpoint - The international gold price is experiencing slight fluctuations, currently around $5183.29 per ounce, with a marginal decline of 0.01%. Geopolitical tensions, particularly between the U.S. and Iran, are influencing market dynamics, leading to expectations of continued high volatility around the $5000 per ounce mark [1][2]. Geopolitical Developments - Oman reported progress in negotiations between the U.S. and Iran regarding Tehran's nuclear program, although the talks did not yield a breakthrough, maintaining regional tensions. The potential for U.S. military action remains a concern amidst the ongoing discussions [2][3]. - The U.S. and Iran plan to resume negotiations after consultations in their respective capitals, with technical discussions scheduled for next week in Vienna. A substantive agreement could reduce the likelihood of military action by the U.S. against Iran [2]. Technical Analysis - The daily structure of international gold prices indicates a strong consolidation above $5100, with the moving average system still in a bullish arrangement, although the upward momentum is slowing. Key support levels are identified at $5150 and $5100, while resistance is noted at $5220 [4]. - The four-hour chart shows gold prices operating within an ascending channel, with short-term support at $5170 and resistance between $5215 and $5220. A breakout triggered by PPI data could lead to significant price movements [4].