Core Insights - The report from GF Securities indicates that stocks and securities investment funds are the most favored domestic investment assets for insurance institutions in 2026 [1][3] - The survey conducted by the China Banking and Insurance Asset Management Association reflects the asset allocation outlook of 127 insurance institutions, covering major asset classes, market judgments, and preferences [2] Asset Allocation - Insurance institutions are expected to moderately or slightly increase their stock investments, while the allocation to bank deposits and bonds is anticipated to remain stable compared to 2025 [3] Bond Market Outlook - Most insurance institutions hold a neutral stance on the overall bond market for 2026, with duration strategies expected to remain unchanged. The 10-year government bond yield is projected to be in the range of 1.8%-1.9%, while the 30-year yield is expected to be between 2.2%-2.4% [4] - Over half of the insurance institutions expect the yield center for high-grade credit bonds to be in the range of 2.0%-2.5%, with credit spreads anticipated to show a fluctuating trend. High-grade industrial bonds, perpetual bonds from banks, secondary capital bonds, and convertible bonds are favored [4] A-Share Market Outlook - A majority of insurance institutions are optimistic about the A-share market in 2026, with plans to slightly increase their allocation to A-shares. They favor stocks in the Sci-Tech 50, CSI 300, CSI A500, and ChiNext, particularly in sectors such as electronics, non-ferrous metals, power equipment, computers, communications, pharmaceuticals, and basic chemicals [5] - Key investment themes include semiconductors, national defense, AI, robotics, energy metals, commercial aerospace, high-dividend stocks, and innovative pharmaceuticals, with corporate profit recovery and liquidity environment being the main factors influencing the A-share market [5] Overseas Investment Preferences - Hong Kong stocks are the most favored overseas investment option for insurance institutions in 2026, with gold and US stocks also receiving significant attention. Half of the asset management institutions plan to slightly increase their allocation to Hong Kong stocks, while 40% intend to maintain their current allocation [6] Long-term Trends for Listed Insurers - The investment asset scale of listed insurance companies has been growing at double-digit rates, with an increasing proportion of equity investments and enhanced active management capabilities, leading to improved equity investment elasticity. The long-term trend of the interest rate spread is expected to improve due to stable long-term rates and capital market growth [7] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the insurance sector, with specific stock recommendations including China Ping An (A/H), China Life (A/H), China Taiping (H), New China Life (A/H), China Pacific Insurance (A), China People’s Insurance Group (H), China Property & Casualty Insurance (H), and AIA Group (H) [8]
广发证券:2026年险资预计稳步增配权益 久期策略基本维持不变