Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that geopolitical tensions, particularly between the US and Iran, are driving demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, with expectations of gold prices fluctuating around $5000 per ounce [1][2] - The US Customs has ceased the collection of tariffs deemed illegal by the Supreme Court, while the Trump-era 10% global tariff is now in effect, which may influence market dynamics [1] - The Federal Reserve's stance on interest rate cuts remains cautious, with a potential 100 basis point cut anticipated by 2026, impacting market sentiment and gold prices [1] Group 2 - Geopolitical risks, including military threats against Iran and ongoing negotiations between Ukraine and Russia, are contributing to increased demand for gold, supported by central banks' continued purchases [2] - Key support and resistance levels for gold prices are identified, with London gold focusing on $4800-$5000 as support and $5300-$5600 as resistance, while Shanghai gold is looking at $1060-$1100 for support and $1170-$1240 for resistance [2]
宏源期货：地缘政治风险此起彼伏 中长期或支撑黄金价格
Jin Tou Wang·2026-02-27 08:08