Why Is Liberty Oilfield Services (LBRT) Up 10.2% Since Last Earnings Report?

Core Insights - Liberty Oilfield Services has shown a positive stock performance, gaining approximately 10.2% over the past month, outperforming the S&P 500 [1] Financial Performance - In Q4 2025, Liberty Energy reported an adjusted net profit of 5 cents per share, significantly surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of 16 cents, although down from a profit of 10 cents in the same quarter last year [2] - Revenues reached $1 billion, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $862 million and marking a 10% increase from the prior year's $944 million, driven by higher activity levels [3] - Adjusted EBITDA was reported at $158 million, a slight increase of 1% from the previous year's $156 million, and also above the model estimate of $93.4 million [3] - Total costs and expenses for the quarter were $1 billion, reflecting a 10.9% increase from the previous year, surpassing the estimated $880.9 million [6] Strategic Developments - Liberty Energy entered a 1 GW power development deal with Vantage Data Centers, supported by a 400 MW capacity reservation contract, and signed a 330 MW power reservation for a Texas site expansion [4] - The company plans to accelerate its distributed power projects to 3 GW by 2029 [4] Shareholder Returns - The board approved a cash dividend of 9 cents per share, payable on March 18, 2026, to shareholders on record as of March 4, 2026, with approximately $15 million returned to shareholders through dividends during the quarter [5] Balance Sheet and Capital Expenditure - As of December 31, Liberty Energy had about $28 million in cash and cash equivalents, with long-term debt of $241.5 million, resulting in a debt-to-capitalization ratio of 10.4% [7] - The company spent $202.8 million on its capital program, exceeding the estimated $139.6 million [7] Management Outlook - Management believes Liberty Energy is well-positioned to outperform across market cycles, supported by its leading completions business and expanding power infrastructure [8] - The company anticipates growth driven by AI-led data center expansion, domestic manufacturing reshoring, and rising electrification [9] - Data center power demand is expected to triple by 2030, increasing the need for flexible, scalable capacity [10] Market Conditions - North American oilfield activity has stabilized, with fourth-quarter completions exceeding seasonal expectations, and demand is projected to remain steady in 2026 [11] - The company expects first-quarter results to be negatively impacted by pricing pressures and winter-related disruptions, but anticipates long-term growth from expanding power and data center demand [12] Estimate Trends - Recent estimates for Liberty Oilfield Services have shown an upward trend, with a consensus estimate shift of 24.11% [13] VGM Scores - Liberty Oilfield Services has a subpar Growth Score of D, a Momentum Score of A, and an overall aggregate VGM Score of B, indicating a strong position in the momentum strategy [14] Industry Performance - Liberty Oilfield Services is part of the Zacks Oil and Gas - Field Services industry, where Halliburton reported revenues of $5.66 billion, reflecting a year-over-year change of +0.8% [16]