This Dividend Stock Just Raised Its Payout By 16%. Time to Buy Shares?

Core Viewpoint - American Express has raised its quarterly dividend by 16% to $0.95 per share, indicating its attractiveness as a dividend stock despite a 17% decline in share price year-to-date [1][2] Business Performance - American Express reported a 10% year-over-year increase in fourth-quarter revenue, net of interest expense, reaching $19.0 billion [4] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) rose 16% to $3.53, showcasing strong operating leverage [5] - For the full year 2025, revenue, net of interest expense, also increased by 10% to approximately $72 billion, with EPS rising 15% when adjusted for one-time items [6] Future Outlook - Management's guidance for 2026 EPS is between $17.30 and $17.90, suggesting a year-over-year growth of about 14.4% at the midpoint, which supports the new annualized payout of $3.80 per share [7] - The expected dividend payments result in a payout ratio of just 21.6% based on the midpoint of the 2026 earnings guidance, allowing room for future dividend increases [8] Capital Return Strategy - In 2025, American Express returned $7.6 billion to shareholders, comprising $2.3 billion in dividends and $5.3 billion in share repurchases, reducing its share count by 7% since 2022 [9] Valuation Considerations - American Express trades at a price-to-earnings multiple of about 20, which is slightly above its five-year average of 18, reflecting expectations for continued double-digit earnings growth [11][12] - The company's affluent customer base provides a structural advantage, potentially insulating it from economic downturns [14] Investment Appeal - The combination of a 16% dividend increase, low payout ratio, double-digit earnings growth, and an aggressive share-repurchase program makes American Express an attractive option for investors seeking a growing income stream [15]